UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Amherst 3
  
Amherst               
W-L: (10- 1) PR = 98.8609

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 4- 7, 93.4) 12- 9 307 H Tufts NESCAC (10- 2, 99.8) 14-13 310 H Smith NEWMAC ( 8- 6, 86.6) 22- 3 314 A Bates NESCAC ( 6- 7, 93.8) 12- 4 317 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps SCIAC ( 8- 3, 94.6) 21- 9 319 A Pomona Pitzer SCIAC (10- 1, 96.2) 11- 7 325 H Springfield NEWMAC ( 6- 6, 89.3) 20- 4 328 H Bowdoin NESCAC ( 3- 8, 93.3) 16- 6 401 H Wesleyan NESCAC (10- 1, 99.4) 7- 9 404 A Colby NESCAC ( 7- 4, 94.4) 11- 7 408 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 2- 8, 90.3) 15- 4 411 A Williams NESCAC ( 9- 3, 95.9) 414 H Westfield State MASCAC ( 5- 6, 87.3) 418 H Middlebury NESCAC (11- 0, 99.8) 422 A Trinity NESCAC ( 8- 4, 96.9)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Hamilton               12- 9       3     5    -     -2.00
   307 H Tufts                  14-13       1    -1           1.67
   310 H Smith                  22- 3      19    13           0.00
   314 A Bates                  12- 4       8     5           0.23
   317 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 21- 9      12     4           1.01
   319 A Pomona Pitzer          11- 7       4     2           1.60
   325 H Springfield            20- 4      16    10           0.00
   328 H Bowdoin                16- 6      10     6           0.00
   401 H Wesleyan                7- 9      -2     0          -1.79
   404 A Colby                  11- 7       4     4          -0.18
   408 H Connecticut College    15- 4      11     9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Hamilton               12- 9       3     5    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Amherst Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Amherst   Amherst
Albertus Magnus Amherst   Amherst
Albion Amherst   Amherst
Albright Amherst   Amherst
Alfred Amherst   Amherst
Alfred State Amherst   Amherst
Allegheny Amherst   Amherst
Alma Amherst   Amherst
Alvernia Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Amherst   Amherst
Anna Maria Amherst   Amherst
Arcadia Amherst   Amherst
Augsburg Amherst   Amherst
Augustana (IL) Amherst   Amherst
Aurora Amherst   Amherst
Averett Amherst   Amherst
Babson Amherst insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Amherst
Baldwin Wallace Amherst   Amherst
Bard Amherst   Amherst
Bates Amherst Amherst  
Beloit Amherst   Amherst
Berry Amherst   Amherst
Bethany Amherst   Amherst
Bowdoin Amherst Amherst  
Brevard Amherst   Amherst
Bridgewater Amherst   Amherst
Bridgewater State Amherst   Amherst
Brockport Amherst   Amherst
Buffalo State Amherst   Amherst
Cal Lutheran Amherst Amherst   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Calvin Amherst   Amherst
Canton Amherst   Amherst
Capital Amherst   Amherst
Carroll Amherst   Amherst
Carthage Amherst   Amherst
Castleton Amherst   Amherst
Catholic Amherst   Amherst
Cedar Crest Amherst   Amherst
Centenary (NJ) Amherst   Amherst
Centre Amherst   Amherst
Chapman Amherst Amherst   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chatham Amherst   Amherst
Chicago Amherst Amherst   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Christopher Newport Amherst   Amherst
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Amherst Amherst  
Clark Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Clarkson Amherst   Amherst
Coast Guard Amherst insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Amherst
Colby Amherst Amherst  
Colby-Sawyer Amherst   Amherst
Colorado College Amherst Amherst   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Concordia-Wisconsin Amherst   Amherst
Connecticut College Amherst Amherst  
Cornell College Amherst   Amherst
Cortland Amherst   Amherst
Curry Amherst   Amherst
Dean Amherst   Amherst
Delaware Valley Amherst   Amherst
Denison Amherst tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Amherst
DePauw Amherst   Amherst
DeSales Amherst   Amherst
Dickinson Amherst   Amherst
Drew Amherst   Amherst
Eastern Amherst   Amherst
Eastern Connecticut Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Eastern Mennonite Amherst   Amherst
Edgewood Amherst   Amherst
Elizabethtown Amherst   Amherst
Elmhurst Amherst   Amherst
Elmira Amherst   Amherst
Elms Amherst   Amherst
Emerson Amherst   Amherst
Emmanuel (MA) Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Endicott Amherst insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Amherst
Farmingdale State Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
FDU-Florham Amherst   Amherst
Ferrum Amherst   Amherst
Fitchburg State Amherst   Amherst
Framingham State Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Franciscan Amherst   Amherst
Franklin Amherst   Amherst
Franklin & Marshall Amherst tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Amherst
Fredonia Amherst   Amherst
Geneseo Amherst tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Amherst
Geneva College Amherst   Amherst
George Fox Amherst   Amherst
Gettysburg Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Gordon Amherst   Amherst
Goucher Amherst   Amherst
Greensboro Amherst   Amherst
Grove City Amherst   Amherst
Guilford Amherst   Amherst
Gwynedd Mercy Amherst   Amherst
Hamilton Amherst Amherst  
Hamline Amherst   Amherst
Hanover Amherst   Amherst
Hartford Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Hartwick Amherst   Amherst
Haverford Amherst   Amherst
Hendrix Amherst   Amherst
Hilbert Amherst   Amherst
Hood Amherst   Amherst
Hope Amherst   Amherst
Huntingdon Amherst   Amherst
Husson Amherst   Amherst
Illinois Tech Amherst   Amherst
Illinois Wesleyan Amherst   Amherst
Immaculata Amherst   Amherst
Ithaca Amherst   Amherst
John Carroll Amherst   Amherst
Johnson & Wales Amherst   Amherst
Kalamazoo Amherst   Amherst
Kean Amherst   Amherst
Keene State Amherst   Amherst
Kenyon Amherst   Amherst
Keuka Amherst   Amherst
Kings Amherst   Amherst
La Roche Amherst   Amherst
Lake Forest Amherst   Amherst
Lasell Amherst   Amherst
Lawrence Amherst   Amherst
Lebanon Valley Amherst   Amherst
Lewis & Clark Amherst   Amherst
Linfield Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Lycoming Amherst   Amherst
Lynchburg Amherst   Amherst
Maine Maritime Amherst   Amherst
Maine-Farmington Amherst   Amherst
Manhattanville Amherst   Amherst
Marian (WI) Amherst   Amherst
Marietta Amherst   Amherst
Maritime Amherst   Amherst
Mary Washington Amherst   Amherst
Marymount Amherst   Amherst
Marywood Amherst   Amherst
Massachusetts Maritime Amherst   Amherst
Massachusetts-Boston Amherst   Amherst
Massachusetts-Dartmouth Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
McDaniel Amherst   Amherst
Merchant Marine Amherst   Amherst
Meredith Amherst   Amherst
Messiah Amherst   Amherst
Methodist Amherst   Amherst
Middlebury Middlebury insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) Middlebury
Misericordia Amherst   Amherst
MIT Amherst insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Amherst
Mitchell Amherst   Amherst
Montclair State Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Moravian Amherst   Amherst
Morrisville Amherst   Amherst
Mount Aloysius Amherst   Amherst
Mount Holyoke Amherst Amherst   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mount St Joseph Amherst   Amherst
Mount St Mary (NY) Amherst   Amherst
Mount St Vincent Amherst   Amherst
Mount Union Amherst   Amherst
MSOE Amherst   Amherst
Muhlenberg Amherst   Amherst
Muskingum Amherst   Amherst
Nazareth Amherst   Amherst
Neumann Amherst   Amherst
New England College Amherst   Amherst
New Paltz Amherst   Amherst
Nichols Amherst   Amherst
North Carolina Wesleyan Amherst   Amherst
North Central (IL) Amherst   Amherst
Norwich Amherst   Amherst
Notre Dame (MD) Amherst   Amherst
Oberlin Amherst   Amherst
Occidental Amherst Amherst   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Oglethorpe Amherst   Amherst
Ohio Northern Amherst   Amherst
Ohio Wesleyan Amherst   Amherst
Old Westbury Amherst   Amherst
Oneonta Amherst   Amherst
Oswego Amherst   Amherst
Otterbein Amherst   Amherst
Pacific Amherst   Amherst
Pacific Lutheran Amherst   Amherst
Pfeiffer Amherst   Amherst
Piedmont Amherst   Amherst
Plattsburgh Amherst   Amherst
Plymouth State Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Pomona Pitzer Amherst Amherst  
Potsdam Amherst   Amherst
Puget Sound Amherst   Amherst
Purchase Amherst   Amherst
Ramapo Amherst   Amherst
Randolph Amherst   Amherst
Randolph-Macon Amherst   Amherst
Redlands Amherst Amherst   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Regis (MA) Amherst   Amherst
Rhode Island College Amherst   Amherst
Rhodes Amherst   Amherst
RIT Amherst   Amherst
Rivier Amherst   Amherst
Roanoke Amherst   Amherst
Rochester Amherst   Amherst
Roger Williams Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Rowan Amherst   Amherst
RPI Amherst   Amherst
Sage Amherst   Amherst
Salem State Amherst   Amherst
Salisbury Salisbury   Salisbury
Salve Regina Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Scranton Amherst   Amherst
Sewanee Amherst   Amherst
Shenandoah Amherst   Amherst
Simmons Amherst   Amherst
Skidmore Amherst tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Amherst
Smith Amherst Amherst  
Southern Maine Amherst Amherst   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Southern Virginia Amherst   Amherst
Southwestern Amherst   Amherst
Spalding Amherst   Amherst
Springfield Amherst Amherst  
St Benedict Amherst   Amherst
St John Fisher Amherst   Amherst
St Joseph (CT) Amherst   Amherst
St Josephs (LI) Amherst   Amherst
St Josephs College (ME) Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
St Lawrence Amherst   Amherst
St Marys (IN) Amherst   Amherst
St Marys (MD) Amherst   Amherst
St Vincent Amherst   Amherst
Stevens Amherst tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Amherst
Stevenson Amherst   Amherst
Stockton Amherst   Amherst
Suffolk Amherst   Amherst
SUNY Poly Amherst   Amherst
Susquehanna Amherst   Amherst
Swarthmore Amherst   Amherst
Sweet Briar Amherst   Amherst
TCNJ Amherst   Amherst
Thiel Amherst   Amherst
Thomas Amherst   Amherst
Transylvania Amherst   Amherst
Trine Amherst   Amherst
Trinity Amherst insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) Amherst
Trinity Washington Amherst   Amherst
Tufts Amherst Amherst  
U New England Amherst   Amherst
Union Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Ursinus Amherst   Amherst
Utica Amherst   Amherst
Vassar Amherst   Amherst
Vermont State-Lyndon Amherst   Amherst
Virginia Wesleyan Amherst   Amherst
Warren Wilson Amherst   Amherst
Washington & Jefferson Amherst   Amherst
Washington & Lee Amherst   Amherst
Washington College Amherst   Amherst
Wellesley Amherst   Amherst
Wentworth Tech Amherst   Amherst
Wesleyan Wesleyan Wesleyan  
Western Connecticut Amherst insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Amherst
Western New England Amherst Amherst   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Westfield State Amherst Amherst   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Westminster (PA) Amherst   Amherst
Wheaton (MA) Amherst Amherst   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Whitman Amherst   Amherst
Whittier Amherst   Amherst
Whitworth Amherst   Amherst
Widener Amherst   Amherst
Wilkes Amherst   Amherst
Willamette Amherst Amherst   2- 0 vs 0- 2
William Peace Amherst   Amherst
William Smith Amherst tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Amherst
Williams Amherst insuffient: ( 6- 0)( 5- 1) Amherst
Wilson Amherst   Amherst
Wisconsin-Eau Claire Amherst   Amherst
Wisconsin-La Crosse Amherst   Amherst
Wisconsin-River Falls Amherst   Amherst
Wisconsin-Stevens Point Amherst   Amherst
Wisconsin-Stout Amherst   Amherst
Wittenberg Amherst   Amherst
Wooster Amherst   Amherst
Worcester State Amherst   Amherst
York Amherst   Amherst

PowerWise = 276


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Hamilton        ( 4- 7, 93.4)    12- 9       -6.52      32.67       0.31         0.96            31.51
   0 H Tufts           (10- 2, 99.8)    14-13       -0.05      39.14      -0.31         0.96            37.09
   0 H Smith           ( 8- 6, 86.6)    22- 3      -13.25      25.94      -0.31         0.96            24.48
   0 A Bates           ( 6- 7, 93.8)    12- 4       -6.12      33.08       0.31         0.96            31.89
   0 A Claremont-Mudd  ( 8- 3, 94.6)    21- 9       -5.34      33.86       0.31         0.96            32.64
   0 A Pomona Pitzer   (10- 1, 96.2)    11- 7       -3.75      35.45       0.31         0.96            34.16
   0 H Springfield     ( 6- 6, 89.3)    20- 4      -10.55      28.64      -0.31         0.96            27.06
   0 H Bowdoin         ( 3- 8, 93.3)    16- 6       -6.62      32.58      -0.31         0.96            30.82
   0 H Wesleyan        (10- 1, 99.4)     7- 9       -0.52      38.68      -0.31         0.96            -0.79
   0 A Colby           ( 7- 4, 94.4)    11- 7       -5.54      33.66       0.31         0.96            32.45
   0 H Connecticut Co  ( 2- 8, 90.3)    15- 4       -9.60      29.59      -0.31         0.96            27.97
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       309.28

winning pts = 310.0690 losing points = -0.7914

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------